The new Congress that begins its work next year will have
serious responsibilities and historic opportunities. To accelerate
the momentum of this economy and to keep creating jobs, we must
take practical measures to help our job creators, the entrepreneurs
and the small business owners.
--President
George W. Bush, November 4, 2004
The Small Business
& Entrepreneurship Council (SBEC) took part in a nationwide voter
survey conducted by the polling company, inc. on the evening
of November 2, 2004. Of the 800 adults who voted in the 2004 Elections
and who were surveyed for this poll, 27 percent were small business
owners.
Of the actual
voters randomly selected from a national sample of telephone exchanges,
51% voted to re-elect President George W. Bush, 48% supported Democrat
John Kerry, and 1% backed Independent Party candidate Ralph Nader.
Small Business Owners overwhelmingly voted for George W. Bush over
John Kerry (57%-41%).
An analysis of
survey results, prepared by the polling company, inc. is provided
below.
Small Business
& the 2004 Elections
According to
the survey results, small business owners (SBOs) favored President
Bush over Senator Kerry by 16 points (57%-41%).
-
Small
Biz Sticks With Bush: Of SBO men, 61% voted for George W. Bush,
while 37% supported John Kerry. A majority of SBO women also gave
President Bush four more years (53% for Bush and 47%
for Kerry).
-
SBOs
Role in Control of Congress: SBOs decisively helped the GOP
to maintain control in the House of Representatives. In fact, 53%
of them voted for the Republican candidate for Congress, while 39%
pulled the lever for Democrats. (More than half 55%, of SBO
men voted for the Republican candidate for Congress, as did 50%
of SBO women. 41% of SBO women and 38% of SBO men supported the
Democratic candidate.)
-
Registration:
39% of SBOs were registered as Republicans (40% men, 37% women),
29% were registered Democrats (28% men, 29% women) and 29% were
Independents (29% men, 30% women).
-
When
did they decide?: With respect to when they made their decision
about their vote for the Presidency, 53% decided either before or
during the summer. The National Conventions had an impact on 14%
of small business voters. Only 10% decided after the conventions
(5% in September and 5% in early October); 11% were late-in-the-game
deciders (9% in late October, 2% the week prior to election day);
and 3% were last minute deciders (1% the last weekend before Election
Day, 1% the day before and 1% on the day itself). (Note: 5% of SBO
respondents said they always vote Republican and 3%
do the same as Democrats.)
-
Key
Issues: The war on terror and terrorism topped the
list for 25% of SBOs. Morality/Family Values was cited by 22% of
SBOS, with Jobs and the Economy closely following at 21%. The situation
in Iraq was identified by12%, while Health Care/Prescription Drugs
was cited 6%. Other issues include: Taxes (3%); Education (2%);
and Other/Dont Know (9%).
-
When
they Voted: 86% of SBOs voted at the polls on Election Day,
while 14% voted early or cast an absentee ballot.
-
Political
Leanings: Half (50%) of SBOs reported they were conservative
(24% very conservative and 26% somewhat
conservative) in their political views, a figure that is more than
three times the number who say they are liberal (16% -- 12% somewhat
liberal and 4% very liberal). An additional 29% call
themselves moderate and 3% libertarian.
Other Demographic
information about SBOs responding the survey:
-
56%
were male and 44% were female.
-
SBOs
were more likely to be 35-54 years old ( 3% 18-24, 14% 25-34, 35%
35-44, 26% 45-54, 14% 55-64, 8% 65+).
-
More
than seven-in-ten (73%) were White, while 25% were minorities (11%
African American, 5% Hispanic, 3% Asian, 6% Other).
-
A
majority is married (70%), while 16% report being single, 7% divorced,
3% separated, or 3% widowed.
-
In
terms of educational attainment, SBOs had a wide range of training/education:
More than one-third (35%) had graduated college; 22% had done post-graduate
work; 23% had some college experience; 14% earned a high school
diploma; and 5% had less than a high school education.
The insights
and data are based on a nationwide survey of 800 actual voters on
Election Day to which the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council
added two questions. All 800 interviews were completed on November
2, 2004. Only those adults who actually voted in this election, either
at the polls on November 2 or in advance of that by mail or through
absentee ballot, were included in the study.
Sampling controls
were employed to ensure that a proportional and representative number
of actual voters were interviewed from such demographic groups as
age, race, gender and geographic region.
The margin of
error is calculated at + 3.5% at the 95% confidence level, meaning
that similar results would be obtained in 19 out of 20 cases were
the same questionnaire presented to the same universe of respondents.
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