Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council
2004 Post-Election Survey
conducted by:
the polling company™, inc.

The Small Business Vote
Post Election Survey 2004
Karen Kerrigan

November 5, 2004


“The new Congress that begins its work next year will have serious responsibilities and historic opportunities. To accelerate the momentum of this economy and to keep creating jobs, we must take practical measures to help our job creators, the entrepreneurs and the small business owners.”
--President George W. Bush, November 4, 2004

The Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council (SBEC) took part in a nationwide voter survey conducted by the polling company™, inc. on the evening of November 2, 2004. Of the 800 adults who voted in the 2004 Elections and who were surveyed for this poll, 27 percent were small business owners.

Of the actual voters randomly selected from a national sample of telephone exchanges, 51% voted to re-elect President George W. Bush, 48% supported Democrat John Kerry, and 1% backed Independent Party candidate Ralph Nader. Small Business Owners overwhelmingly voted for George W. Bush over John Kerry (57%-41%).

An analysis of survey results, prepared by the polling company™, inc. is provided below.

Small Business & the 2004 Elections

According to the survey results, small business owners (SBOs) favored President Bush over Senator Kerry by 16 points (57%-41%).

  • Small Biz Sticks With Bush: Of SBO men, 61% voted for George W. Bush, while 37% supported John Kerry. A majority of SBO women also gave President Bush “four more years” (53% for Bush and 47% for Kerry).
  • SBOs Role in Control of Congress: SBOs decisively helped the GOP to maintain control in the House of Representatives. In fact, 53% of them voted for the Republican candidate for Congress, while 39% pulled the lever for Democrats. (More than half – 55%, of SBO men voted for the Republican candidate for Congress, as did 50% of SBO women. 41% of SBO women and 38% of SBO men supported the Democratic candidate.)
  • Registration: 39% of SBOs were registered as Republicans (40% men, 37% women), 29% were registered Democrats (28% men, 29% women) and 29% were Independents (29% men, 30% women).
  • When did they decide?: With respect to when they made their decision about their vote for the Presidency, 53% decided either before or during the summer. The National Conventions had an impact on 14% of small business voters. Only 10% decided after the conventions (5% in September and 5% in early October); 11% were late-in-the-game deciders (9% in late October, 2% the week prior to election day); and 3% were last minute deciders (1% the last weekend before Election Day, 1% the day before and 1% on the day itself). (Note: 5% of SBO respondents said they “always vote Republican” and 3% do the same as Democrats.)
  • Key Issues: “The war on terror and terrorism” topped the list for 25% of SBOs. Morality/Family Values was cited by 22% of SBOS, with Jobs and the Economy closely following at 21%. The situation in Iraq was identified by12%, while Health Care/Prescription Drugs was cited 6%. Other issues include: Taxes (3%); Education (2%); and Other/Don’t Know (9%).
  • When they Voted: 86% of SBOs voted at the polls on Election Day, while 14% voted early or cast an absentee ballot.
  • Political Leanings: Half (50%) of SBOs reported they were conservative (24% “very” conservative and 26% “somewhat” conservative) in their political views, a figure that is more than three times the number who say they are liberal (16% -- 12% “somewhat” liberal and 4% “very” liberal). An additional 29% call themselves “moderate” and 3% libertarian.

Other Demographic information about SBOs responding the survey:

  • 56% were male and 44% were female.
  • SBOs were more likely to be 35-54 years old ( 3% 18-24, 14% 25-34, 35% 35-44, 26% 45-54, 14% 55-64, 8% 65+).
  • More than seven-in-ten (73%) were White, while 25% were minorities (11% African American, 5% Hispanic, 3% Asian, 6% Other).
  • A majority is married (70%), while 16% report being single, 7% divorced, 3% separated, or 3% widowed.
  • In terms of educational attainment, SBOs had a wide range of training/education: More than one-third (35%) had graduated college; 22% had done post-graduate work; 23% had some college experience; 14% earned a high school diploma; and 5% had less than a high school education.

The insights and data are based on a nationwide survey of 800 actual voters on Election Day to which the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council added two questions. All 800 interviews were completed on November 2, 2004. Only those adults who actually voted in this election, either at the polls on November 2 or in advance of that by mail or through absentee ballot, were included in the study.

Sampling controls were employed to ensure that a proportional and representative number of actual voters were interviewed from such demographic groups as age, race, gender and geographic region.

The margin of error is calculated at + 3.5% at the 95% confidence level, meaning that similar results would be obtained in 19 out of 20 cases were the same questionnaire presented to the same universe of respondents.

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